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forecasting:meeting_minutes_september_13_2016 [2016/09/14 02:49] jobatake |
forecasting:meeting_minutes_september_13_2016 [2021/09/19 21:59] |
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| - | ====== Forecasting Meeting Minutes for Week of September 13, 2016 ====== | ||
| - | ** Present: Gordon, Brieanna, Jaimie ** | ||
| - | |||
| - | ===== Updates ===== | ||
| - | * Modified Meeting Hours: Tuesday 4:30-7:00 & Thursday 4:30-7:00 | ||
| - | |||
| - | Saturday, September 10, 2016 (Proposal Presentations) | ||
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| - | |||
| - | Tuesday, September 13, 2016 | ||
| - | * Understanding PV: | ||
| - | * How much in Hawaii | ||
| - | * Commercial and residential | ||
| - | * Projection of these | ||
| - | * Solar Thermal | ||
| - | * Solar Farms | ||
| - | * Concentrated Solar | ||
| - | * Energy Production | ||
| - | * PV Data Sheets | ||
| - | * 10-15% efficiency w/ lower cost panels | ||
| - | * 40% efficiency w/ increase in efficiencies, cost, etc. | ||
| - | * Breaks for Federal and State and HECO | ||
| - | * Larger contracts (PPA) | ||
| - | |||
| - | * Forecasting: | ||
| - | * Weather and time series prediction | ||
| - | * Predicting an hour | ||
| - | * Reasonable with just Least Squares | ||
| - | * Depends on normalization (ex. subtract mean of specific time of day/std, or zenith angle) | ||
| - | * Take **zenith angle**: Time of day and day of year in account | ||
| - | * Depends on first and second order (mean and covariance matrixes) | ||
| - | * Online Methods: | ||
| - | * Estimate of parameter weight and update estimate based on new data | ||
| - | * New linear estimate | ||
| - | * Recursive Least Squares (RLS) | ||
| - | * Least Mean Squares (LMS) | ||
| - | * Won't perform as well | ||
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| - | Thursday, September 15, 2016 | ||
| - | * | ||
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| - | |||
| - | ===== Reminders ===== | ||
| - | * | ||