Forecasting Meeting Minutes for Week of December 6, 2016

Present Tuesday: Gordon, Brieanna, Jaimie

• Check Accuracy
  • RMSE: 200
  • Persistence: Use last data point as estimate
    • Current time = prediction
    • 1 tap = 1
    • No bias
    • No normalization
  • Create estimate: All data and guess mean
  • Max solar irradiance is 1000 W
  • Check with Travis's Report
• Test many data sets
  • Test RSME should be higher than train RMSE
  • Varies on the number of taps